Republicans have gained a redistricting advantage but may still lose the U.S. House due to low approval ratings for President Trump and strong Democratic polling leads.

Republicans have reshaped 14 districts across 6 states in their favor and are positioned to gain up to a dozen Democratic-held House seats through redistricting, but Trump's 36% approval rating and a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Democrats leading 41% to 35% on the generic ballot may still give Democrats the upper hand in the November 2026 midterm elections.